My Grammy Picks

UPDATE -- I made guesses in 70 categories and was right in 39 of them. Out of 28 album categories, I got 17 right.

Here are my picks for who I think will WIN the Grammy tonight. This is not who I would vote for, but who I would bet on winning. But don't head to Vegas -- I don't have a good feel for the way Grammy voters are trending this year.

RECORD OF THE YEAR -- Crazy by Gnarls Barkely NO! (Dixie Chicks -- Not Ready To Make Nice)

ALBUM OF THE YEAR -- Taking the Long Way by Dixie Chicks -- YES!

SONG OF THE YEAR -- Be Without You by Mary J Blige NO! (Dixie Chicks. Actually, I changed my mind at about 7:30- but I wasn't home and felt I couldn't take credit since I didn't change it before the show began)

BEST NEW ARTIST -- Carrie Underwood -- YES!

BEST FEMALE POP VOCAL -- Ain't No Other Man by Christina Aguilera -- YES!

BEST MALE POP Vocal -- Waiting On The World To Change by John Mayer -- YES!

BEST POP PERFORMANCE DUO OR GROUP -- Over My head -- The Fray -- NO! (Black Eyed Peas)

BEST POP COLLABORATION -- One by Mary J Blige and U2 -- NO! (Tony Bennett and Stevie Wonder)

BEST POP INSTRUMENTAL -- Mornin' by George Benson and Al Jarreau -- YES!

BEST POP INSTRUMENTAL ALBUM -- X by Fourplay -- NO! (Peter Frampton for Fingerprints)

BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM -- FutureSex/LoveSounds by Justin Timberlake -- NO! (John Mayer)

BEST DANCE RECORDING -- SexyBack by Justin Timberlake and Timbaland -- YES!

BEST ELECTRONIC DANCE ALBUM -- Confessions On A Dance Floor -- Madonna -- YES!

BEST TRADITIONAL POP VOCAL -- Duets by Tony Bennett -- YES!

BEST SOLO ROCK VOCAL -- Someday Baby by Bob Dylan -- YES!

BEST ROCK PERFORMANCE DUO OR GROUP -- Dani California by Red Hot Chili Peppers -- YES

BEST HARD ROCK PERFORMANCE -- Every Day Is Exactly the Same by Nine Inch Nails -- NO! (Wolfmother, which makes me happy)

BEST METAL PERFORMANCE -- Lies Lies Lies by Ministry -- NO! (Slayer)

BEST ROCK INSTRUMENTAL -- Castellorizon by David Gilmour -- NO! (Flaming Lips)

BEST ROCK SONG -- Chasing Cars by Snow Patrol -- NO! (Red Hot Chili Peppers)

BEST ROCK ALBUM -- Stadium Arcadium by Red Hot Chili Peppers -- YES!

BEST ALTERNATIVE ALBUM -- St. Elsewhere by Gnarls Barkley -- YES!

BEST FEMALE R&B VOCAL -- Be Without You by Mary J Blige -- YES!

BEST MALE R&B VOCAL -- Black Sweat by Prince -- NO! (John Legend)

BEST R&B VOCAL DUO OR GROUP -- Love Changes Jamie Foxx featuring Mary J Blige -- NO! (John Legend w Joss Stone and Van Hunt)

BEST TRADITIONAL R&B VOCAL -- I Found My Everything by Mary J Blige -- NO (George Benson and Jill Scott)

BEST URBAN/ALTERNATIVE PERFORMANCE -- Crazy by Gnarls Barkley -- YES!

BEST R&B SONG -- Be Without You by Mary J Blige -- YES!

BEST R&B ALBUM -- The Breakthrough by Mary J Blige -- YES!

BEST CONTEMPORARY R&B ALBUM -- B'Day by Beyonce -- YES!

BEST RAP SOLO -- What You Know by TI -- YES!

BEST RAP DUO OR GROUP -- Ridin' by Chamillionaire featuring Krayzie Bone -- YES!

BEST RAP/SUNG COLLABORATION -- Smack That by Akon featuring Eminem -- NO!

BEST RAP SONG -- What You Know by TI -- NO!

BEST RAP ALBUM -- King by TI -- NO! (Ludacris)

BEST FEMALE COUNTRY VOCAL -- Jesus, Take The Wheel by Carrie Underwood -- YES!

BEST MALE COUNTRY VOCAL -- The Reason Why by Vince Gill -- YES!

BEST COUNTRY VOCAL DUO OR GROUP -- Not Ready To Make Nice by Dixie Chicks -- YES!

BEST COUNTRY COLLABORATION -- Tomorrow Is Forever by Solomon Burke and Dolly Parton -- NO! (I didn't expect them to win, but Bon Jovie and Jennifer Nettles?)

BEST COUNTRY INSTRUMENTAL -- The Eleventh Reel by Chris Thile -- NO! (Doc Watson, etc.)

BEST COUNTRY SONG -- Like Red On A Rose by Alan Jackson -- NO! (Jesus, Take The Wheel)

BEST COUNTRY ALBUM -- Taking The Long Way by Dixie Chicks -- YES!

BEST BLUEGRASS ALBUM -- Live At The Ryman by Marty Stuart -- NO! (Ricky Skaggs)

BEST NEW AGE ALBUM -- Amarantine by Enya -- YES!

BEST CONTEMPORARY JAZZ ALBUM -- The Hidden Land by Bela Fleck -- YES!

BEST JAZZ VOCAL ALBUM -- From This Moment On by Diana Krall -- NO! (Nancy Wilson)

BEST JAZZ INSTRUMENTAL SOLO -- Some Skunk Funk by Michael Brecker -- YES!

BEST JAZZ INSTRUMENTAL ALBUM -- Sonny, Please by Sonny Rollins -- NO! (Chick Corea beat Sonny Rollins AND Ornette Coleman)

BEST LARGE JAZZ ENSEMBLE ALBUM -- Some Skunk Funk by Randy Brecker -- YES!

BEST GOSPEL PERFORMANCE -- Victory by Yolanda Adams -- YES!

BEST GOSPEL SONG -- Imagine Me by Kirk Franklin -- YES!

BEST SOUTHERN, COUNTRY OR BLUEGRASS GOSPEL ALBUM -- Precious Memories by Alan Jackson -- NO! (Randy Travis)

BEST TRADITIONAL GOSPEL -- Still Keeping It Real by The Dixie Hummingbirds -- NO! (Israel)

BEST CONTEMPORARY R&B GOSPEL ALBUM -- Hero by Kirk Franklin -- YES!

BEST LATIN ROCK ALTERNATIVE ALBUM -- Amar es Combatir by Mana -- YES!

BEST TRADITIONAL BLUES ALBUM -- People Gonna Talk by James Hunter (i hope) -- NO! (wife beater Ike Turner won)

BEST TRADITIONAL FOLK ALBUM -- We Shall Overcome by Bruce Springsteen -- YES!

BEST CONTEMPORARY FOLK -- Modern Times by Bob Dylan -- YES!

BEST TRADITIONAL WORLD MUSIC ALBUM -- Blessed by Soweto Gospel Choir -- YES!

BEST CONTEMPORARY WORLD MUSIC ALBUM -- Savane by Ali Farka Toure -- NO! (Klezmatics)

BEST MUSICAL ALBUM FOR KIDS -- Catch That Train by Dan Zanes -- YES!

BEST SPOKEN WORD ALBUM FOR KIDS -- Peter Pan by Jim Dale -- NO! (Bill Harley)

BEST SPOKEN WORD ALBUM -- With Ossie And Ruby -- YES! (tie w Jimmy Carter)

BEST COMEDY ALBUM -- Life Is Worth Losing by George Carlin -- NO! (Lewis Black)

BEST MUSICAL SHOW ALBUM -- Sweeney Todd (one of the toughest categories of all) -- NO! (Jersey Boys)

BEST SOUNDTRACK -- Brokeback Mountain -- NO! (Walk The Line)

BEST SCORE -- Munich by John Williams -- NO! (Memoirs of a Geisha)

BEST SONG FOR A MOVIE -- Travelin' Through by Dolly Parton -- NO! (Randy Newman)

PRODUCER OF THE YEAR -- Rick Rubin -- YES!

BEST MUSIC VIDEO SHORT -- Here It Goes Again by OK Go -- YES!

BEST LONG FORM MUSIC VIDEO -- Wings for Wheels -- The Making of 'Born To Run' -- YES!